Preseason Rankings
America East
2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
84 Vermont 56.2%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 22 - 7 14 - 2 +6.2      +2.2 108 +4.0 68 64.2 297 0.0 1 0.0 1
178 Albany 13.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 12 10 - 6 -1.4      -0.1 178 -1.3 202 65.6 270 0.0 1 0.0 1
196 Stony Brook 11.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 14 10 - 6 -2.2      -3.1 263 +0.8 136 71.7 99 0.0 1 0.0 1
206 Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 10 - 6 -2.8      -4.1 291 +1.3 126 63.7 310 0.0 1 0.0 1
263 Umass Lowell 5.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 16 8 - 8 -5.7      -0.3 190 -5.5 326 74.9 51 0.0 1 0.0 1
321 Hartford 1.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 19 6 - 10 -10.0      -4.8 306 -5.3 322 66.8 231 0.0 1 0.0 1
333 Maine 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -11.4      -7.1 337 -4.2 292 62.0 330 0.0 1 0.0 1
334 New Hampshire 0.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 5 - 11 -11.6      -9.8 348 -1.8 218 64.7 288 0.0 1 0.0 1
339 Binghamton 0.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 21 5 - 11 -12.5      -7.3 339 -5.3 321 65.3 276 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.5 70.6 17.8 6.9 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Albany 3.2 15.9 26.2 20.9 15.6 10.2 5.7 3.2 1.6 0.6
Stony Brook 3.4 13.0 22.7 21.1 17.4 11.8 7.3 3.8 2.0 0.9
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.6 11.2 20.6 20.8 17.6 12.9 8.3 4.8 2.6 1.1
Umass Lowell 4.6 4.6 11.7 15.6 17.1 17.4 14.2 10.0 6.2 3.3
Hartford 6.2 0.9 3.3 6.7 10.5 14.3 17.4 18.2 16.0 12.6
Maine 6.6 0.4 2.2 4.7 7.5 11.7 16.6 19.4 19.4 18.1
New Hampshire 6.7 0.4 2.1 4.4 7.6 11.3 15.8 18.5 20.5 19.3
Binghamton 7.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 6.0 9.5 14.2 18.7 22.4 24.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 14 - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.8 6.8 11.4 16.4 21.1 21.9 14.5
Albany 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.6 9.3 12.0 13.6 14.5 13.3 10.5 7.3 3.0 0.8
Stony Brook 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.3 5.1 8.2 10.8 12.7 14.3 14.0 11.8 8.8 5.3 2.3 0.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.9 6.4 9.1 10.9 12.5 14.2 13.3 11.1 7.7 4.6 1.9 0.5
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.4 10.9 12.2 13.7 12.5 10.9 8.7 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
Hartford 6 - 10 0.9 3.2 6.5 9.9 12.5 14.2 13.8 12.3 9.7 7.3 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maine 5 - 11 1.7 5.0 8.9 12.1 14.9 14.7 13.4 10.4 7.6 5.1 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 5 - 11 1.8 5.4 9.6 13.1 14.7 14.1 12.5 10.6 7.5 5.0 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 5 - 11 2.8 6.9 12.0 14.6 15.6 14.2 12.0 8.5 6.0 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 70.6% 58.2 10.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Albany 15.9% 9.5 5.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Stony Brook 13.0% 7.5 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.2% 6.3 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.6% 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hartford 0.9% 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 0.4% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 56.2% 55.5% 0.7% 14   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.3 3.6 12.1 15.2 12.1 6.4 2.3 43.8 1.5%
Albany 13.9% 13.9% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 3.0 3.7 3.9 86.1 0.1%
Stony Brook 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.6 3.3 3.5 88.4 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.9 4.0 89.5 0.0%
Umass Lowell 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.5 95.0 0.0%
Hartford 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%
Binghamton 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 56.2% 1.3% 55.6% 12.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Albany 13.9% 2.0% 13.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 11.6% 1.7% 10.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10.5% 2.2% 9.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 5.0% 1.6% 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.2 0.8
1st Round 95.0% 1.0 5.0 94.5 0.5
2nd Round 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.5% 0.0 95.5 4.5
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0